CWRU PAT Coffee Agenda

Tuesdays 10:30 - 11:30 | Fridays 11:30 - 12:30

+1 When is tension just a fluctuation? How noisy data affects model comparison.

bump   kxp265 -1 ixz6 +1

+1 On the Vanishing of Love Numbers for Kerr Black Holes.

oxg34 +1

+1 Continuous Spin Representation from Contraction of the Conformal Algebra.

bump   kxp265 -1 oxg34 +1

0 Five-percent measurements of the growth rate from simulation-based modelling of redshift-space clustering in BOSS LOWZ.

bump   xxx230 +1

0 Closing the gap: Near future MeV telescopes can discover asteroid-mass primordial black hole dark matter.

bump   kxp265 +1

Showing votes from 2021-02-16 11:30 to 2021-02-19 12:30 | Next meeting is Tuesday Jun 10th, 10:30 am.

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astro-ph.CO

  • When is tension just a fluctuation? How noisy data affects model comparison.- [PDF] - [Article]

    B. Joachimi, F. Köhlinger, W. Handley, P. Lemos
     

    Summary statistics of the likelihood, such as the Bayesian evidence, offer a principled way of comparing models and assessing tension between, or within, the results of physical experiments. Noisy realisations of the data induce scatter in these model comparison statistics. For a realistic case of cosmological inference from large-scale structure we show that the logarithm of the Bayes factor attains scatter of order unity, increasing significantly with stronger tension between the models under comparison. We develop an approximate procedure that quantifies the sampling distribution of the evidence at small additional computational cost and apply it to real data to demonstrate the impact of the scatter, which acts to reduce the significance of any model discrepancies. Data compression is highlighted as a potential avenue to suppressing noise in the evidence to negligible levels, with a proof of concept on Planck cosmic microwave background data.

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